On the 18th of November 2009, a 1-1 draw at the Centenario stadium in Uruguay,
helped the host nation seal its place at the 2010 World Cup finals at South Africa
completing the standings and the roster of 32 teams for the world’s greatest
event. 17 days later, the die is cast and the group opponents for each are now
decided as the world cup draw took place on this fateful day for the 32 nations.
As expected, it was a red hot draw (also with the obvious presence of Charlize
Theron as the host doesn’t help make it any cooler) and now we have the
matches in front of us. So, what was the spice of it? Well a so called “group of
death” involving Brazil, Portugal, Cote d’Ivoire and the little known Korea D.P.R,
a relatively easy group for Spain, Netherlands and Italy considering their standards
and a tricky Group A involving the hosts South Africa, France, Mexico and
Uruguay.
Now let us analyse the groups one by one starting with Group A from today.
Group A: France, South Africa, Uruguay and Mexico This looks to be the most competitive group if not the “group of death”. Although for some it can be considered a group no less tougher than the group of death. In any major soccer event over the past decades, the host nations have often ruled the roost. Look for yourself, 1990 World Cup Italy, Italy comes third, 1994 USA, USA knocks out Valderama’s Colombia and gives Brazil a run for its money before bowing out, 1998 France; France emerge World Champions, 2002 Korea and Japan; South Korea become fourth beating the likes of Poland, Portugal, Italy and Spain on their way to the semis and 2006 Germany, Germany comes third. After looking at their performance in the Confederations cup earlier this year, everyone should be prepared to see South Africa spring up few surprises. With Benny McCarthy back for the bafanas along with Steve Pienaar, we might have a few upsets on the cards. The Bafana bafanas have a strong and well knit outfit that can displace even the best. France are favourites to top the group on paper but football is not played on paper, Is it? Going by the current form, the way they qualified and “the management” of Mr. Raymond Domenech, there is a possibility of France slipping. Although they will have Ribery back (hopefully without another injury lay off) and Henry using his feet this time to do what he does best, they will have to work very very hard. Mexico are a rejuvenated side. They have a genuine leader in form of Aguirre who has been able to turn their fortunes after the exit of Sven Goran Eriksson. With Andres Guardado in form and young stars as Dos Santos, Vela and Villaluz coming good with the experience of players as Marquez, the evergreen Blanco and Omar Bravo, Mexico looks to be the side to be beaten. They stand as favourites along with France to get through. In fact, if they play to their potential, they can top the group beating all of their opponents. Uruguay have been the most unpredictable side in the history of World football so much so that at a time they went on to win 2 world cups and also lose to unseeded sides in the past to crash out of qualification. This year they have some tough competitive players. Eguren, Caceres and skipper Lugano will be rock solid in midfield and defence whereas Abreu and Forland will spearhead the attack. Uruguay surely can send either Mexico or France packing out of the competition on their day. The first day matches will hold the key for all the four teams. Even now group openers are so very crucial for any team regardless of their rank and form for building momentum that often it decides the group standings in the end. Coaches often underestimate the value and significance the first matches and sometimes it results in early exit. We have seen that for France in 2002 and Argentina 1990 although Argentina recovered and made it to the finals then. Watch out for France vs Uruguay, the late kick off, as it will have a massive impact on the group results overall. A result in the other match for either SA or Mexico can be a big blow for France and Uruguay if either of them lose or draw. Although being the host nations, South Africa will have minimal pressure, low expectancies and big support which will boost their morale like anything. South Afria will look to target either Uruguay or Mexico for full points as a win against either of them and a point against 2 other sides might prove to be enough to take them through at the cost of the big ones. Mexico also should target South Africa for full points as it’ll not only put them on top morale wise but also give a upper hand in their second match if they are playing a loser of the other match between France and Uruguay. On paper, at the end of the first round, the group is expected to have France 1st, Mexico 2nd, South Africa 3rd and Uruguay last. However my prediction is France 1st , South Africa 2nd, Mexico 3rd and Uruguay last with the hosts and the French moving ahead and the latinos crashing out.
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South Africa | Mexico | Uruguay | France
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11 June 2010 South Africa VS Mexico (19.30 PM IST) 11 June 2010 Uruguay VS France (24.00 PM IST) 16 June 2010 South Africa VS Uruguay (24.00 PM IST) 17 June 2010 France VS Mexico (24.00 PM IST) 22 June 2010 Mexico VS Uruguay (19.30 PM IST) 22 June 2010 France VS South Africa (19.30 PM IST) |
"Easy" is a relative term. Although grammatically “easier” should be the word but I think Argentina have an easy
group considering their recent performances on their way to qualification. Well honestly, nothing comes easy but
may be, in this case scenario, we can use the word for Argentina because they have managed to avoid teams like
France, Portugal, USA, Denmark and Ivory Coast. Argentina is a team that should not be concerned about
qualification but they should be more concerned about reaching the semis and finals in World Cups. Sadly
however, such is the state of the team that the draw for them will give Diego and co a sigh of relief. Yes, they
are still favorites to go through to the next round but will the likes of South Korea, Nigeria and Greece make
it easy for them. No way!
Messi has been named the best player in planet but for Argentina he remains a question mark. There is a difference between Club football and International football. Often stars have literally struggled to cope up with the pressure of playing for their nations and there have often been buzzes of their loyalties, dedication, and commitment while questions have been raised about money and professionalism being a part of the players’ success and failure for club and country respectively. Anyways, I don’t think it has been the case with Messi. He is a young lad who has achieved a lot at 22 and still has a long way to go. There already is immense pressure on him to deliver for club and country and everytime he achieves something, the pressure and expectancy increases so it’ll not be surprising if he falters at this stage. The fact that he won the FIFA Footballer of the year award only doubles the pressure and expectations. All the eyes around the footballing world now will be on him hoping he will pull out a piece of magic and win the cup single-handedly which is not fair but that is football and life. The reason for Argentina’s worries has been nothing more than poor team chemistry. The players don’t know where to play, how to play, what to do, which way to go, and I think if anyone is to be blamed at all then it has to be Diego. His management system has been put into question by not only the media but also footballing experts and it doesn’t look good for Argentina. Simply put, Messi and others have been misused. But in the end of it all, Argentina is Argentina and Maradona is Maradona. How often have we seen that the team that struggle to qualify achieve glory in the end. Although Argentina and Diego can’t thrive on this but they can still start fresh and be positive about it. Argentina have some fantastic players in the form of Tevez, Messi, Kun Aguero, Higuain, Di Maria and Pablo Aimar but they will still miss Riquelme and his playmaking abilities if he is not available for the cup which looks very likely. Greece looks like the team to give Argentina the biggest problem. Their compact and defensive style of play will make the Argentines work doubly harder with some rash challenges coming in and some physical play. Greece’s closing down style of play will make it very difficult for the Messis and Agueros to find space to run which has been their biggest strength with low centre of gravity as they will be cramped and will be involved in a cagy fight and Argentina historically have struggled in such cagy fights. Once you close down spaces to players like Messi, Aguero and Tevez, half the game is won as these players cannot fight for the ball physically with the tall and strong Greeks with no place to run. One on one duels will be tough to fight in as in modern day football, there is very little time to breath, forget make a move. Although Messi is special and may be he can do something about it. The physical approach will be hard to deal with whereas long ball play, which is often sought as a remedy for tackling the closing down approach might not suit well for the Albicelestes for the same reason that most of their players are short with an average height of 178 cms compared to 187cms to that of the Greeks and therefore a playmaker of Riquelme’s calibre would be sorely missed who could orchestrate the game from the midfield without much running to do and could pass and skillfully play around with the ball in very short and tight spaces with some beautiful tricks. Moreover, they will also have to be careful at the back with the lingering threat of Charisteas, Gekas, Samaras and Salpigidis in the penalty area. Greece do have some very good players in their side with teenage sensation Soitiris Ninis being the one to watch out for. His devastating runs with pace on the right hand side and clever cut-ins will be troublesome for any side. Karagounis will be in charge of all the playmaking duties whereas Kyrgiakos, Seitaridis and Torosidis will be rock solid at the back. Nigeria will fancy their chances as the third team and might sneak through with the homely atmosphere of Africa all around. They have good players as Aiyegbeni Yakubu, Obafemi Martins and Obinna upfront and Joseph Yobo and Shittu in defence. Odemwingie will be a special player to watch out for with sudden burst of pace and tricks alongside the evergreen and reliable Kanu whereas John Mikel Obi will be the midfield orchestrator. The only problem that Nigeria currently are facing is having an able coach to guide them to the success path as Shaibo Amodu the current coach has not been very impressive. South Korea is the weakest team in the group. This is a world cup played in Africa and not Korea and 2002 is long gone when they finished fourth. South Korea are no longer the same side they used to be and history will definitely not repeat itself. There will be not dubious decisions by referees for god’s sake and we won’t have any upsets from Korea this time. They have not performed very well in Qualifiers and many a times have looked dismal and I don’t see that changing. Park Ji Sung will be the key player but other than him, the side doesn’t possess any form of inspiration. It will be a tough group phase for them and they are very likely to go home with no points. The key matches in the group would obviously be between Argentina and Nigeria and also Argentina and Greece. Meanwhile Greece vs Nigeria would probably determine the second team to go through alongside Argentina. My prediction from this group might come as a surprise to many as I would say Nigeria finishes top with the home like atmosphere all around, drawing Argentina and winning the other games with 7 points and Argentina sneaking through in second with a draw against Greece and the super eagles and beating South Korea with 5 points. Teams to go through ::Nigeria 1st and Argentina 2nd
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Argentina
Nigeria
Korea Republic
Greece
12 June 2010 Argentina VS Nigeria (19.30 PM IST)
12 June 2010 Korea Republic VS Greece (17.00 PM IST)
17 June 2010 Argentina VS Korea Rep (17.00 PM IST)
17 June 2010 Greece VS Nigeria (19.30 PM IST)
22 June 2010 Greece VS Argentina (24.00 PM IST)
22 June 2010 Nigeria VS Korea Rep (24.00 PM IST)
England
United States
Algeria
Slovenia
12 June 2010 England VS United States (24.00 PM IST)
13 June 2010 Algeria VS Slovenia (17.00 PM IST)
18 June 2010 England VS Algeria (24.00 PM IST)
18 June 2010 Slovenia VS United States (19.30 PM IST)
23 June 2010 United States VS Algeria (19.30 PM IST)
23 June 2010 Slovenia VS England (19.30 PM IST)
Will Be Back with GROUP 'D' Analisys soon...
Pushpargha Chatterjee :MBA, Football Marketing and management
VIU, US/Canada
Masters of Science in International Business,
Sports Marketing
University of Hertfordshire, United Kingdom.
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GROUP-D
Germany
13 June 2010 Germany VS Australia (24.00 PM IST) |
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GROUP-E
Netherlands
14 June 2010 Holland VS Denmark (17.00 PM IST)
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GROUP-F
Italy
14 June 2010 Italy VS Paraguay (24.00 PM IST)
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GROUP-G
Brazil
15 June 2010 Brazil VS Korea DPR (24.00 PM IST)
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GROUP-H
Spain
16 June 2010 Spain VS Switzerland (19.30 PM IST) |